Lithuania vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
LTU
1 - 3
UKR
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
LTU
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
LTU
1 - 1
BLR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
SVN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 2
LVA
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
CRO
7 - 1
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
LTU
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
EST
0 - 7
LTU
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |