Lithuania vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
POL
4 - 1
LTU
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 2
LTU
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
CRO
2 - 0
LTU
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
UKR
0 - 2
LTU
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
SWE
4 - 2
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
CRO
2 - 0
LTU
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
EST
0 - 2
CRO
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
ISR
0 - 4
CRO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |