Lithuania vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
LTU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 1
LTU
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
LTU
0 - 2
KAZ
34%
25%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 0
NZL
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
POR
6 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
1 - 0
BLR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
KAZ
1 - 2
BLR
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
BLR
0 - 2
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
BGR
0 - 1
BLR
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BLR
1 - 0
UZB
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |