Lithuania vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LTU
2 - 4
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MNG
4 - 1
LTU
12%
20%
68%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LTU
0 - 3
JOR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2002 |
MLT
1 - 1
LTU
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 2
GER
26%
25%
48%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
GER
0 - 2
BRA
26%
22%
53%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
KOR
77%
14%
10%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |