Liechtenstein vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.2%
73.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
28.3%
0-2
18.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
HUN
5 - 0
LIE
95%
4%
1%
|
10 | 87 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
0 - 4
SVK
3%
15%
82%
|
9 | 82 | 73 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
ROU
7 - 0
LIE
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 91 | 82 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
AUT
6 - 0
LIE
96%
4%
1%
|
9 | 88 | 79 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
POR
7 - 0
AZE
89%
9%
2%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
POR
2 - 0
ISR
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SVK
0 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |