Liechtenstein vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.3%
74.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ISR
2 - 1
LIE
92%
7%
1%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 2
ALB
10%
19%
71%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
8 - 0
LIE
91%
8%
1%
|
27 | 96 | 69 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
DEN
5 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
84%
13%
3%
|
27 | 78 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
2 - 3
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ISR
1 - 3
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 3
FRA
35%
28%
37%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | -1 |