Liechtenstein vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
70.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
2 - 2
ARM
9%
18%
72%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 2
MKD
8%
18%
75%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GIB
2 - 1
LIE
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MKD
4 - 1
LIE
86%
12%
3%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LIE
2 - 0
GIB
10%
15%
74%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +8 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
0 - 1
EST
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
1 - 0
FIN
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
GRC
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GRC
1 - 0
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
HUN
2 - 1
GRC
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |