Liechtenstein vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21%
70%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
AZE
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
FIN
13%
22%
65%
|
24 | 85 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
5%
|
24 | 93 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 3
POR
13%
23%
65%
|
24 | 96 | 72 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
2 - 1
LIE
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 85 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FIN
2 - 1
WAL
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 3
RUS
26%
27%
46%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MNE
2 - 1
WAL
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 1
WAL
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 0
EST
66%
22%
12%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |