Liechtenstein vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
LIE
0 - 6
SUI
7%
16%
77%
|
11 | 84 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
LIE
1 - 4
USA
12%
23%
66%
|
11 | 72 | 61 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
LIE
0 - 1
SUI
21%
22%
58%
|
10 | 74 | 64 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1981 |
LIE
1 - 0
MAS
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1981 |
LIE
3 - 2
IDN
16%
24%
60%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | +2 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
7%
22%
71%
|
64 | 95 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
EST
2 - 1
LTU
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1993 |
SCO
3 - 1
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |