Liechtenstein vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.4%
78.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 2
AUT
3%
10%
87%
|
21 | 87 | 66 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 93 | 72 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
LIE
95%
5%
1%
|
21 | 99 | 78 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 3
SUI
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 91 | 70 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 3
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
21 | 90 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DEN
0 - 0
NIR
82%
14%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 2
DEN
15%
24%
61%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
DEN
4 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
DEN
2 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 0
DEN
64%
22%
14%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |