Latvia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LVA
0 - 3
UZB
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
LVA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
HUN
3 - 1
LVA
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LVA
3 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |