Latvia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1936 |
LVA
2 - 1
EST
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1936 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
65%
17%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
LTU
1 - 5
LVA
54%
20%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 1936 |
EST
3 - 4
LVA
55%
21%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
GER
3 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
YUG
9 - 3
POL
47%
20%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
POL
5 - 4
GBR
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
POL
3 - 0
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |