Kenya vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
KEN
2 - 0
ZIM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
CIV
12%
23%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
KEN
2 - 0
ZIM
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 2
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |