Kenya vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
CIV
12%
23%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 3
KEN
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 2
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 3
KEN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |