Kenya vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
LBR
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
COD
0 - 1
KEN
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ZMB
1 - 1
KEN
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
UGA
1 - 1
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
3 - 0
UGA
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 3
UGA
73%
19%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |