Kenya vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GNB
1 - 0
KEN
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
ETH
0 - 3
KEN
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
TAN
1 - 1
KEN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
3 - 1
KEN
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
KEN
1 - 3
CMR
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
UGA
3 - 0
ANG
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZAM
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
TAN
2 - 3
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 2
UGA
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 1
UGA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |