Kenya vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 3
CTA
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
SWZ
14%
18%
68%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SWZ
65%
23%
13%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
SWZ
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ZIM
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |