Kenya vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
3 - 2
TAN
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ALG
2 - 0
KEN
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GHA
1 - 0
KEN
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
0 - 1
ALG
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
TAN
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
NGA
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 1
MLI
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MAD
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |