Kenya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 0
KEN
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 0
KEN
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
1 - 0
KEN
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 1
TAN
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 1
KEN
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 1
NED
11%
21%
67%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 0
TUN
43%
29%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUN
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
5 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
49%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |