Kenya vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 2
KEN
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
KEN
11%
22%
67%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
KEN
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IRN
2 - 1
KEN
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
KEN
2 - 1
RWA
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MLI
4 - 0
SSD
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
EGY
3 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GAM
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
CGO
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CGO
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |