Kenya vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
GNQ
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
KEN
0 - 1
SWZ
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 3
CAF
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
NZL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NZL
0 - 0
PER
14%
23%
64%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 1
NZL
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 2
NZL
9%
18%
74%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |