Kenya vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KEN
1 - 2
TUN
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 0
KEN
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 0
KEN
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
1 - 0
KEN
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
2 - 0
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 0
MOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOZ
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |