Kenya vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
KEN
22%
24%
55%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KEN
3 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
4 - 1
UGA
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
BFA
0 - 3
KEN
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAR
29%
31%
41%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
TUN
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |