Kenya vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
64.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 3
KEN
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 4
KEN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 5
KEN
9%
19%
71%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
GAB
2 - 1
KEN
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAB
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
URU
1 - 2
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 2
BEN
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 2
CIV
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 0
COD
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |