Kenya vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
MTN
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SLE
2 - 1
KEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
LSO
7%
15%
78%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | +11 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |