Kenya vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
1 - 0
KEN
65%
22%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
1 - 0
KEN
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
KEN
2 - 1
ETH
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
2 - 0
AUS
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
0 - 2
AUS
35%
32%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AUS
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
SCO
1 - 0
AUS
58%
26%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
0 - 0
SWE
23%
27%
49%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |