Kenya vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
MWI
2 - 2
KEN
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MOZ
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
4 - 2
SYC
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
2 - 1
MUS
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +1 |