Kenya vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
UAE
2 - 2
KEN
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
BHR
2 - 1
KEN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2003 |
KEN
0 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |