Kenya vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
TWN
0 - 4
KEN
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
KEN
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 1
NZL
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
EQG
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
MWI
79%
16%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MWI
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 0
MWI
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |