Kenya vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GHA
1 - 0
KEN
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
KEN
3 - 0
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 0
KEN
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
MWI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MAD
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MAD
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |