CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Kenya vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
KEN
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
KEN
0 - 0
BDI
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
KEN
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
KEN
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 0
LBR
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBR
1 - 0
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
LSO
73%
17%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |