Kenya vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CGO
1 - 1
KEN
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 0
SSD
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 0
KEN
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 2
KEN
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
ETH
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
ETH
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |