Kenya vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
MWI
2 - 2
KEN
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
ETH
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
EGY
1 - 1
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |