Kazakhstan vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SVN
2 - 1
KAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
KAZ
3 - 1
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
KAZ
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
3 - 1
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KAZ
1 - 0
NIR
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
HKG
2 - 2
TKM
23%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
TKM
1 - 3
UZB
11%
19%
71%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BHR
1 - 1
TKM
79%
14%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
IDN
2 - 0
TKM
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
TKM
38%
25%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |