Kazakhstan vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
23%
53%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
PER
5 - 2
KAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
KSA
1 - 0
KAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 1
BGD
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
2 - 1
MDV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |