Kazakhstan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
PER
5 - 2
KAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
KSA
1 - 0
KAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
KAZ
3 - 2
PLE
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
4 - 1
IRQ
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |