Kazakhstan vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
KAZ
0 - 1
POL
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
AZE
1 - 1
KAZ
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 0
KAZ
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
1 - 0
KGZ
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
4 - 1
TJK
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 0
FIN
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 1
POR
20%
26%
55%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 3
FIN
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 2
NIR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |