Kazakhstan vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 0
KAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AND
1 - 3
KAZ
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
KAZ
75%
18%
8%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
KAZ
0 - 4
ENG
13%
23%
63%
|
66 | 99 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
1 - 5
BLR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 2
QAT
76%
17%
7%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 1
CRO
65%
21%
14%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
BLR
74%
18%
8%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BLR
1 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 2
UKR
66%
22%
12%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |