Kazakhstan vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 1
SRB
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
UZB
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 0
AZE
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 0
KGZ
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CHN
1 - 0
KAZ
89%
8%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
ARM
92%
6%
2%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
AND
0 - 0
ARM
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
PAN
1 - 1
ARM
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 0
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
SRB
3 - 0
ARM
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |