Kazakhstan vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LVA
3 - 1
KAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
KAZ
93%
6%
1%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
2 - 1
KAZ
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
3 - 2
KAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
20%
25%
56%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
UKR
4 - 3
ARM
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |