Kazakhstan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
KAZ
2 - 1
TJK
59%
21%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
HUN
3 - 0
KAZ
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 1
KAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IRL
3 - 1
KAZ
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 1
KAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
KGZ
1 - 0
MMR
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
KGZ
0 - 2
MDV
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
PLE
1 - 0
KGZ
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AFG
0 - 0
KGZ
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
KGZ
0 - 0
AZE
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |