Kazakhstan vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ARM
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 1
SRB
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
UZB
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 0
AZE
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 0
KGZ
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 3
POL
9%
20%
71%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 0
FIN
18%
27%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
POL
5 - 0
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 0
KGZ
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 0
AZE
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |