Kazakhstan vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CYP
2 - 1
KAZ
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
KAZ
5 - 4
ARM
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LVA
3 - 1
KAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
KAZ
93%
6%
1%
|
71 | 96 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ISR
6 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
KSA
1 - 0
AZE
88%
9%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
OMA
1 - 0
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
UAE
3 - 3
AZE
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |