Juan Fernández vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
83%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
SWA
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 3
MAG
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 1
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |