Japan vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
UAE
0 - 2
JPN
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 1
KSA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
JPN
4 - 0
OMA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 1
JPN
40%
26%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 1
IRQ
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
THA
0 - 3
KSA
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
THA
2 - 0
IDN
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
THA
15%
19%
66%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
THA
4 - 0
MMR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MMR
0 - 2
THA
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |