Japan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
JPN
4 - 0
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SGP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 1
JPN
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
IND
0 - 4
JPN
13%
25%
62%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
KWT
3 - 2
SYR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
SYR
0 - 1
KGZ
87%
10%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 2
BHR
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
QAT
1 - 2
SYR
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
SYR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |