Japan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
TUN
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
UZB
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
JPN
5 - 3
URU
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
JPN
3 - 2
MEX
33%
29%
39%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
YUG
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
SRB
1 - 1
SYR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
KWT
2 - 2
SYR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
KSA
3 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SYR
1 - 0
SDN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
SYR
1 - 2
SDN
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |