Japan vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 2
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 0
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 2
GHA
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 2
UKR
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
KOR
0 - 2
SEN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
SEN
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
10%
21%
69%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |