Japan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
UAE
70%
20%
10%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 3
URU
40%
28%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
72%
19%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
THA
0 - 3
JPN
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
KOR
3 - 0
UZB
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
UZB
0 - 1
AUS
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
3 - 0
UZB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UZB
0 - 0
PRK
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
OMA
2 - 0
UZB
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |