Japan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
JPN
5 - 3
URU
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
JPN
3 - 2
MEX
33%
29%
39%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
YUG
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1996 |
JPN
5 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CHN
2 - 4
UZB
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1994 |
UZB
1 - 0
KOR
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
UZB
3 - 0
TKM
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1994 |
THA
4 - 5
UZB
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |